NB Power deal boosts industry: Keir

Published Tuesday November 10th, 2009

Energy minister says gov't never hid benefits of sale for large customers

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FREDERICTON - As the government continues to tout the virtues of the proposed sale of NB Power, many observers are left weighing the benefits for residential customers versus those for large industry.

Energy Minister Jack Keir spoke to the Saint John Board of Trade and the St. Stephen Chamber of Commerce yesterday, the latest stops in his ongoing tour of the province promoting the $4.75 billion deal with Hydro-Québec to New Brunswickers.

Under the terms of the proposed partnership, large industry electricity rates would drop 30 per cent to Quebec levels, while residential rates would be frozen for five years at the current rate -- about 70 per cent higher than in Quebec. Keir says the government has been up front about the fact industry will receive more benefits at first, but maintains the residential freeze would even that out in the long run.

"There's no question that industry gets the early benefit, but overall our residents are going to get as good a benefit as industry does," the energy minister says. "What I would look at is the status quo of what would happen if we don't do this. We know for sure there's going to be a minimum of a three per cent increase in April of next year and who knows what after that."

Peter Gordon, CEO of Fraser Papers, says the deal would save the company $8 million in the first year and give them rates that are competitive to industries in Quebec, Ontario and British Columbia. While he recognizes the savings look big, he says it needs to be put in context.

"It's not like we've been earning windfall profits over the last five or 10 years, far from it," he says. "We are in bankruptcy protection and, while power is not the only factor that has affected our business, it is one of the largest factors."

The company, which employs about 650 people in New Brunswick, has been in bankruptcy protection since June. Its Plaster Rock lumber mill is scheduled to reopen next week after a $17.6 million modernization project, bringing approximately 175 employees back to work at the facility.

Gordon says the preservation and expansion of large industry in New Brunswick, particularly in the north, would have trickle-down effects for all residents.

"When industry benefits, there's a direct flow through into communities and into families that are being employed. Think through the impacts in the communities like Dalhousie and Miramichi," he says, estimating that Fraser creates $450 million worth of indirect benefits in the Edmundston area.

But David Alward, leader of the Progressive Conservative Party, says the deal would favour industry customers over residents in the short-term, but even they might get hurt after the first five years.

"We certainly have concerns and I believe there are members within industry that have concerns, because of the fact that there are no guarantees long-term," he says.

"While I want to see New Brunswick's large businesses be competitive, we also have to remember that there are many other small businesses in New Brunswick that are bearing the brunt of this agreement."

Alward says debate is needed on both the terms of the deal and possible alternatives, including other potential energy partners. He says the Opposition will be presenting such alternatives once the debate begins.

Keir says the perception the deal was made behind closed doors and without public consultation is a "fair comment," but the focus now has to be on the facts of the NB Power agreement.

"New Brunswickers have told me for three years they can't continue paying the rates as they are. Industry has been shutting down, in part because of electricity rates," he says.

"We've got to do something and this is our solution to that."

 

Comments (9)

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Jack Keir is not to be trusted. A week ago he didn't even understand the ramifications of his own deal.

"In fact, the numbers are so heavily tilted toward industry that Energy Minister Jack Keir didn't believe them at first, even though they came from his own department.

"I don't know where you get your numbers.... I don't agree with them, frankly," he said Wednesday.

On Thursday, Keir acknowledged the numbers are correct. But he said residents would eventually save just as much as industry, if not more."

http://bit.ly/4nyFZK
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Will Rose, Fredericton on 10/11/09 08:42:04 AM AST
"NB Power deal boosts industry at the expense of residents:Keir"

There, fixed that for ya!
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monkey towner, moncton on 10/11/09 08:43:18 AM AST
NBers are complaining that they can't continue to pay high rates on their power bills. If this deal doesn't go through wait in a few years when your power bills are more then double what you have now.
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52 Leblanc, Moncton on 10/11/09 09:32:02 AM AST
52 Leblanc,

More than double? Really? I'd love to see you source that stat.

Our bills will most likely have to go up a bit in the short term, but in the mid to long term, this deal does not guarantee us lower rates at all.

For example, under this deal Hydro Quebec will be putting a cap on our power usage. If we go over that cap (which is so low we're already over it according to official NB Power annual reports), we have to pay for the rest of our energy at market price (which will be set by a monopoly nonetheless). [MOU section 2.4]

Also, only power generation costs will be tied to inflation. HQ has made sure to unbundle transmission and distribution costs so they can charge us separately for that. [MOU section 2.5]

Third, we are still on the hook for shutting down our old plants that Quebec doesn't even want. Those costs can be recouped through a rate increase. [MOU section 3.1(b)(vi)]

Anhd I've got lots more where that came from. Don't let Graham fool you with shiny numbers.
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Will Rose, Fredericton on 10/11/09 09:58:40 AM AST
The thing is that we are selling off the transmission lines into the US. This should never have been part of the deal. HQ just wants to buy the prime assets of NBP. You'll see all our fossil fuel plants closed by HQ, putting many workers in the unemployment lines. We should wait until we recoup some of our costs of the refurbishment, and construction of the new lines into the US. Down the road sell Lepreau to pay debt? Yes, but only after we take in some revenue from the power it will generate after it comes back on line. But never sell the transmission lines. We have a strategic geographical advantage that we are giving up forever.
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Logical 2009, moncton on 10/11/09 10:08:19 AM AST
For those who want to read the MOU themselves to see if I'm stating fact, it is available here:
http://bit.ly/4jOUz7

As for 52 Leblanc's sources, don't hold your breath.
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Will Rose, Fredericton on 10/11/09 10:17:52 AM AST
THIS IS A RAW DEAL FOR NB TAXPAYERS!!!!!!! Stop the Irving propaganda!!!!
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C. DUGUAY, Riverview on 10/11/09 11:26:49 AM AST
Thank you very much Wild Rose for the site.
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A. LeBlanc, Dieppe on 10/11/09 02:47:04 PM AST
Your correct Mr. Keir take money out of taxpayers pockets and line the Irvings pocket.
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Mike D., Moncton on 11/11/09 04:53:52 PM AST
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